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Is Thailand on the Brink of a Military Coup Amid PM Paetongtarn’s Crisis?

Less than a year after taking office, Thailand’s PM Paetongtarn Shinawatra faces mounting pressure amid a leaked phone call controversy and escalating military involvement. This power struggle revives fears of a military takeover, highlighting deep-rooted conflicts between pro-democracy forces and the military-backed royalist elite.

Is Thailand on the Brink of a Military Coup Amid PM Paetongtarn’s Crisis?

Political Turmoil Looms as Thailand’s PM Faces Growing Pressure

Less than a year into her tenure, Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra finds herself engulfed in controversy, reigniting fears that Thailand might be sliding back toward military rule—a scenario the nation managed to avoid just two years ago.

Cabinet Shakeup Amid Mounting Challenges

In an effort to steady her government, Paetongtarn reshuffled her Cabinet last Monday following a leak of a sensitive phone conversation. This phone call has sparked widespread criticism and threatens to destabilize her administration further. The Prime Minister, daughter of former premier Thaksin Shinawatra, moved swiftly to fill ministerial positions left vacant after her main coalition ally withdrew support.

The Military’s Growing Influence

Concerns are mounting as Paetongtarn recently met with top military figures, including the commander of the second army region responsible for security on Thailand's eastern border. She also held talks with the heads of the army, air force, navy, and the supreme command. These meetings are seen by many as efforts to demonstrate unity between the civilian government and the armed forces.

Diplomats based in Bangkok view these developments as the latest chapter in a long-running political standoff that has deeply influenced Thailand’s democratic journey for over two decades.

Power Struggle Rooted in Thailand’s Turbulent History

At the center of this conflict lies a fierce struggle between pro-democracy factions, closely associated with Paetongtarn’s father, and the conservative, ultra-royalist establishment supported by the military and royalist elites. This divide has continued to stall Thailand's political progress and threatens to reshape the country’s political landscape.

The Controversial Phone Call

The leaked conversation, which ignited the current crisis, involves a discussion on an ongoing border dispute with Cambodia's influential former leader, Hun Sen. In the call, Paetongtarn refers to Hun Sen as "uncle" while describing the Thai army commander in the northeast as an adversary.

The remarks quickly sparked backlash on social media and prompted the Thai foreign ministry to summon the Cambodian ambassador in protest against the leak, which has further complicated diplomatic relations.

What Lies Ahead for Thailand?

With tensions intensifying and military influence seemingly on the rise once again, Thailand stands at a crossroads. The unfolding political drama raises pressing questions about the country’s commitment to democracy and the future role of the military in governance.

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