Logo

WMO Forecasts Record-Breaking Global Temperatures from 2025 to 2029

According to the World Meteorological Organization's latest climate update, global temperatures from 2025 to 2029 are projected to surpass record highs, with an 80% likelihood that at least one year will be hotter than 2024. Temperatures are expected to be 1.2°C to 1.9°C above pre-industrial averages, increasing climate-related risks worldwide. The forecast also highlights continued anomalous wetness in South Asia during this period.

WMO Forecasts Record-Breaking Global Temperatures from 2025 to 2029

Geneva: The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has issued its latest Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update for 2025-2029, forecasting a significant rise in global temperatures.

The report indicates an 80% probability that at least one year between 2025 and 2029 will be warmer than the current record year 2024. It anticipates global temperatures to range between 1.2°C and 1.9°C above pre-industrial levels for each year in this period.

Furthermore, there is a 70% likelihood that the average warming over the five years will exceed 1.5°C, marking an increase from previous forecasts—47% for 2024-2028 and 32% for 2023-2027. This escalation in temperature poses increased risks, including the intensification of heatwaves, extreme rainfall, droughts, melting ice sheets and glaciers, ocean warming, and rising sea levels.

The WMO's update also highlights regional climate trends, noting that South Asia has experienced unusually wet conditions in recent years, except in 2023, a pattern expected to persist through 2029.

As stated by the WMO, "The Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update projects global temperatures to remain at or near record highs over the next five years, exacerbating climate risks and impacting societies, economies, and sustainable development worldwide."

This comprehensive forecast is part of the WMO's annual synthesis of global climate predictions, compiled from various WMO-affiliated Global Producing Centres and contributors.

UN Warns 70% Chance of Exceeding 1.5°C Global Warming Limit by 2029
UN Warns 70% Chance of Exceeding 1.5°C Global Warming Limit by 2029

The United Nations reports a 70% probability that average global temperatures from 2025 to 2029 will surpass the 1.5°C limit set by the Paris Agreement. Following a decade marked as the warmest on record, recent years have broken temperature records, signaling escalating risks to economies, ecosystems, and daily life. Experts warn the 1.5°C target may soon become unattainable without urgent emissions reductions.

Global Leaders to Convene in France for Urgent UN Ocean Conference 2025
Global Leaders to Convene in France for Urgent UN Ocean Conference 2025

The third UN Ocean Conference, hosted in Nice, France, gathers world leaders, scientists, and businesses to combat the global ocean emergency. Focus areas include rising temperatures, plastic pollution, and overexploitation of marine resources. Participants aim to mobilize $100 billion in funding and advance the high seas biodiversity treaty to protect marine ecosystems and promote sustainable ocean use.

Study Warns Only 24% of Global Glaciers Will Survive 2.7°C Warming
Study Warns Only 24% of Global Glaciers Will Survive 2.7°C Warming

A scientific study warns that if global temperatures rise by 2.7°C, only 24% of current glaciers will remain, with regions like Scandinavia and the Alps facing near-total ice loss. Limiting warming to 1.5°C could preserve twice as much glacier mass. Indian glaciers, critical to major river basins, also face accelerated melting with further warming. The research stresses the importance of immediate climate action.

Ancient Oualata Town and Manuscripts Threatened by Sahara Desert Encroachment
Ancient Oualata Town and Manuscripts Threatened by Sahara Desert Encroachment

Oualata, a UNESCO-listed medieval town in Mauritania, is endangered by Sahara desertification and heavy rains that damage its mudbrick buildings. Once a thriving center for trade and Islamic learning, many of its historical manuscripts and structures now face neglect as residents relocate for work. Preservation efforts continue amid limited funding and security challenges.

EU on Track to Meet 2030 Climate Targets, Challenges Persist for 2040 Goals
EU on Track to Meet 2030 Climate Targets, Challenges Persist for 2040 Goals

The European Union is on course to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 54% by 2030 compared to 1990 levels, nearing its 55% target. Despite economic growth of nearly 70% since 1990, challenges remain, including uneven progress across member states and issues in forest and carbon management. The EU aims for carbon neutrality by 2050 with a proposed 90% emissions cut by 2040.

Global Temperatures Likely to Exceed 1.5°C Limit Between 2025-29, Warns WMO
Global Temperatures Likely to Exceed 1.5°C Limit Between 2025-29, Warns WMO

A new report from the World Meteorological Organization warns that global average temperatures between 2025 and 2029 are likely to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, with an 86% chance of at least one year surpassing this threshold. The Arctic is poised to warm rapidly, while South Asia is expected to see above-normal monsoon rains. The findings underscore urgent global climate challenges and the need for effective adaptation measures.

UN Warns 2025-29 Global Warming Likely to Surpass 1.5°C Threshold
UN Warns 2025-29 Global Warming Likely to Surpass 1.5°C Threshold

The United Nations warns that average global temperatures between 2025 and 2029 will likely surpass the 1.5°C increase above pre-industrial levels, with a 70% probability. The World Meteorological Organization highlights the absence of warming relief after the 10 warmest years on record. Rising temperatures threaten ecosystems, economies, and human health globally, with extreme heat and weather events intensifying. Regional forecasts predict significant Arctic warming and altered precipitation patterns across several continents.

Japan Mandates Large Firms to Join Carbon Trading System by 2026
Japan Mandates Large Firms to Join Carbon Trading System by 2026

In a strategic move to meet its climate objectives, Japan mandates large firms emitting over 100,000 tonnes of CO2 annually to join a carbon trading system starting April 2026. This system covers industries responsible for 60% of the country's emissions, promoting reduction efforts and innovation toward Japan's 2050 carbon neutrality goal.

Gujarat Man Sentenced to 10 Years in US for Fatal Human Smuggling Case
Gujarat Man Sentenced to 10 Years in US for Fatal Human Smuggling Case

Harshkumar Ramanlal Patel of Dingucha, Gujarat, received a 10-year sentence from a US court for organizing a human smuggling operation that caused the deaths of an Indian family of four freezing to death during a 2022 border crossing attempt. The incident highlights the dangers of illegal migration and has drawn significant attention in Gujarat.

US Student Visa Vetting Tightens: What Indian Students Need to Know
US Student Visa Vetting Tightens: What Indian Students Need to Know

The US is tightening student visa vetting processes, including social media screening, affecting international applicants. Educational consultant Viral Doshi reassures Indian students that this aims to curb political activism, not discriminate, urging them to focus on academic opportunities. With 331,602 Indian students currently in the US, Doshi stresses adapting to stricter internship and job markets but affirms America’s status as a leading education destination.